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| Fethullah Gülen |
a)
WHAT IS GOING ON IN TURKEY?
Recently, there are too many
questions waiting for answers in Turkey. Both in internal and
external policies, Justice and Development Party (AKP) faces too many
problems because of being exhausted after 10 years in power and most
possibly, this timespan has hurt power relations within government.
Moreover, Erdoğan's sickness and lack of alternative leadership in
the party reveals an emptiness within government. So, we have to
understand the codes of the 'conflict' within the government.
For
Turkish people, stability of the government has always been the main
political concern. AKP has gained a great success on this issue
because of the powerful coallition lying behind it. But today, we can
see that this coallition has some differences within and those
differences in understanding of governance cause problems like it
appeared in the issue of National Intelligence Agency (MIT). Today,
MIT is being accused of collaboration with KCK (Which is assumed to
be city organisation of PKK [Kurdistan Workers Party]) and assembly
has just passed a law that organizes the command chain between Prime
Minister and chief of MIT. The main reason lying behind this is
actually a fight for power within the invisible coallition leading
Turkey. Judgement which is dependent on Gülen's political tendencies
have started an attack against MIT, in order to take it over since
this is the only governmental organization Gülen movement hasn't
been able to capture yet.
Fethullah
Gülen, who has been away from Turkey for more than a decade is the
leader of Gülen Congregation which is defined as a political and
educational organization by Şahin Alpay (1) who is a politics expert
and known with his sovereignity on Gülen Congregation. This
political and educational organisation has a great importance in
Turkey and it's assumed effect on general elections changes between
10% and 20%. Statistics and past experiences reveal that, the
population that Congregation represents has a determining effect on
election results. Also, it is known that, their economical
organisation is one of the determining forces especially in the
countrysides in Turkey.
There
is another crisis going on in Turkey as well. There are some records
of match-fixings and 7 teams might relegate at the end of the courts
going on. It is assumed that, this is another operation held by the
Gülen Congregation for reorganising this sector and designing a new
administration scheme. Fenerbahçe Board made too many announcement
regarding this 'operation' made by Gülen Congregation. These
statements might be speculative. However, we have to state that Gülen
movement has some aims and these objectives are very major since they
do not wan't to miss the advantage of absolute power.
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| PKK Guerillas |
b)
WAR, KURDS AND POLITICAL ORDER
The
main question must be why Gülen and his group became that aggressive
on these days. The reason lying behind is the War getting closer day
by day. While Essed government kills Syrian people, UN and NATO
intervention is being expected by political organisations much more
these days. Moreover, NATO seems not to participate in a war by
itself. Turkey, as the new 'powerful guy' of the Middle East is
preparing for its role to 'invade' Syrian fields for 'human rights'.
A capitalist state is going to invade another for stoping the
violence with violence...
There
are many articles on this issue. While some people are making calls
for NATO to intervene as soon as possible only a few of them don't
make a selection between Essed and NATO. In Turkey, there are many
organisations that will be effective in the process. However, the
main actor right there is the Kurdish movement, and it is divided
within itself as well. Wladimir van Wilgenburg from Rudaw.net wrote
on this issue and focused on some important points.
Wildenburg
states that there are many Kurdish opposition groups in Turkey which
are dependent on PKK and KDP. But there is a difference between their
understanding of the system in Syria. While PKK knows that any NATO
intervention to Syria will probably make it come to the end because
of war conditions and losing the support of Essed.
Wilgenburg
states that “PYD
officials claim they want the regime to fall -- but are opposed to
foreign intervention, especially by Turkey. PKK generals said they
would fight any Turkish intervention in Syria. Meanwhile, the PKK is
trying to use the power vacuum and unrest to build parallel state
institutions, which is what they tried to do in Turkey.” 2
What
PKK does there is more sensible movement since PYD's way of
understanding things is not enough for analysing and handling what's
going on. It doesn't matter how 'politically correct' PKK or PYD is,
what goes in Syria will be very critical but Wilgenburg's another
statement must be focused here: “Despite this (conflicts) , it is
unlikely that there will be armed clashes between the KDP and PKK
(though Turkey would enjoy it.) The Kurdish parties learned that this
would hurt their own credibility among Kurds and also weaken them,
which would only benefit their rivals.”
- What's Going to Happen Then?
As i mentioned above, in Turkey,
people are addicted to 'stability'. AKP has been supported that much
for their supplement of stability until this day. But any war AKP
gets involved in will be hurting and damaging their high prestige in
Turkey. Since the war means 'opportunity' for capital but crisis and
hunger for the working class AKP will face a new crisis. They will
have to retell themselves to the lower classes and a possible
conflict going to occur from here may even cause them to lose in next
elections.
At the same time, Kurdish
population's more coordinated attitude will be able to create a new
atmosphere there. While there is a conflict in 'power block', Kurdish
politics may get benefit from this conflict. What's important here is
to get a 'total agreement' on the war politics as Kurdish power
groups in the Middle East. It may seem difficult but it is not
impossible, especially right after Barzani's words about
self-determination for nations.
In terms of reel-politics things
are like that. But, the situation in Syria doesn't seem very good
from here since there is no difference between intervention nor
Essed, what's going to happen there is probably a longlasting war
atmosphere that'll be used by capitalist powers in the region and
around Syria. What we can do right now is showing a third possible
way, but the problem is right there: What is the third way?
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